When an electorate seems to be volatile and there aren’t many high-quality pollsters in the field (by traditional standards), it’s wise to tread lightly. It’s possible that voters will turn on Moore ...

With just five days until Election Day, Republicans are in good shape in the FiveThirtyEight forecast. If each party were to win every race they are currently favored to win, Republicans would have 51 ...

The mixed model with one factor represented by fixed effects, one factor by random effects, and a normal error, has often stipulated that these random effects be a sample drawn from a normally ...